Amara OkaforChief Economist, Meridian Bank
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Are we already in a recession, and does the official data reflect it?
Technically, no — two quarters of contraction is the textbook line and we haven't had them. But the textbook was written for an economy where wages, rent and credit moved together. They don't anymore. If you're asking whether households feel a recession, the answer is plainly yes, and the participation number is the tell.
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